October 2, 2026 Match Predictions and Analysis

The Nations League programme on the evening of October 2 stretches from two major League A fixtures to the quieter corners of League C. We put eight matches under the microscope: seven kicking off at 21:45 and Latvia vs Montenegro at 19:00. In every section we interpret the form lines, goal averages and the contrasts between the two sides. For all of the day's matches and live prediction results, take a look at the iTahmin daily predictions page.

France - Italy

The tension between attack and defence will be at its clearest at the Stade de France. France score 1.6 goals per match and concede 1.6, while Italy concede just 0.6 per match. The four-time world champions arrive for this Nations League A away fixture with 3 victories, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The hosts have 3 victories and 2 defeats. France's matches average 3.2 goals, while Italy's fall to 1.8, and both sides sit at just 20 percent for both teams scoring. Referee Jesus Gil Manzano takes charge, and the high-goals potential tag is at a risky level, so goal expectations should be read with caution. Can France's defensive gaps run into Italy's 0.6 concession average?

Belgium - Türkiye

Türkiye are looking for points away at Belgium in Nations League A, and the numbers make it a steep climb. The hosts, playing at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, score 2.0 goals per match and have 3 victories and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches. The visitors' record is tougher: 1 victory, 1 draw, 3 defeats and 1.8 goals conceded per match. Both sides sit around 60 percent for both teams scoring; Belgium's matches average 3.2 goals and Türkiye's 2.8. With Rohit Saggi's whistle opening the match, goals at both ends would not be a surprise. Even so, Türkiye's attacking average of 1.0 stands out as the most striking shortfall in this section.

Poland - Romania

Poland's 5-match run contains no victory: three draws, two defeats and only 0.8 goals per match. Opposite them are Romania, the highest-scoring profile of the day: 2.6 goals scored, 1.6 conceded and an average of 4.2 goals in their matches. Both teams scored in 80 percent of Romania's matches, so in four of five games both nets were shaken. In this League B fixture at the National Stadium Warsaw, refereed by Urs Schnyder, Poland's attacking problem meets Romania's open defensive game. A night open to goal exchanges can be expected, but it is worth remembering that the high-goals potential tag sits at a risky level.

Bosnia-Herzegovina - Sweden

One of League B's most balanced pairings is played at Bilino Polje. Bosnia-Herzegovina arrive with 2 victories, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while Sweden have 2 victories, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The points records are close, but their styles differ: Bosnia-Herzegovina score 1.6 and concede 1.8 per match, while Sweden sit at 1.2 both scored and conceded. The hosts' matches average 3.4 goals, the visitors' 2.4. Both teams scoring stands at 60 percent for each side. In this match, overseen by Oleksiy Derevinskyi, Bosnia-Herzegovina's leaky defence and Sweden's balanced structure will set the tone of the League B points race.

Hungary - Georgia

EURO 2024 participants Georgia come to the Ferenc Puskas Stadium as a team that does not like conceding: just 0.6 goals per match. In return they are frugal going forward, with a scoring average of 0.8 and 1.4 total goals per match, one of the slowest-tempo profiles of the day. Georgia's form reads 1 victory, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Hungary have 2 victories, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 per match. This League B match, handled by Srdjan Jovanovic, looks more like a test of defensive resistance than of goals. Georgia's both-teams-to-score rate stays at 40 percent, while Hungary's 60 percent suggests the hosts play a little more openly.

Ukraine - Northern Ireland

Conceding only 0.2 goals per match, Ukraine own one of the sturdiest defensive numbers of recent form. The hosts come in unbeaten with 3 victories and 2 draws. Northern Ireland have 2 victories, 2 draws and 1 defeat, averaging 0.8 both scored and conceded. Jasper Vergoote will referee this League B match at Stadion Antona Malatinskeho. The two sides' matches average just 1.4 and 1.6 goals, and the both-teams-to-score rate is 20 percent for Ukraine and 40 percent for Northern Ireland. The data points to a low-scoring, controlled evening. That 0.2 defensive average is among the most striking figures of the day.

Faroe Islands - Slovakia

League C's clearest form gap takes the stage at Torsvollur. Slovakia are unbeaten in recent weeks with 4 victories and 1 draw, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per match. The Faroe Islands arrive with 2 victories, 2 draws and 1 defeat, averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Slovakia's matches average 2.8 goals, while the hosts' drop to 1.8. In this match refereed by Mohammed Al-Hakim, the visitors' superiority shows in the numbers, but the hosts' defensive resilience is not to be underestimated. The Faroe Islands keeping the game tight on home soil could dictate the tempo.

Latvia - Montenegro

The day's early kick-off is at 19:00 at Skonto Stadium. This UEFA Nations League C national-team fixture sits at the bottom of the day's importance ranking, yet the numbers sketch a picture capable of producing a surprise. Latvia arrive with 1 victory, 1 draw and 3 defeats, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Montenegro are on a more balanced line with 3 victories, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Both sides' matches average 3.0 goals. The both-teams-to-score rate is 20 percent for Latvia and 60 percent for Montenegro. In this match, officiated by Radoslav Gidzhenov, Montenegro's form advantage meets Latvia's status as hosts.

Günün Özeti

The day's two most appealing fixtures are Poland vs Romania, which stands out with Romania's 4.2-goal match profile, and France vs Italy, where France's attack is tested against Italy's 0.6 concession average. We wish you an enjoyable Nations League evening.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.