AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction | October 28, 2026

Looking for an AC Milan vs Bologna prediction? This preview covers the Italy Serie A match scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 20:30 Turkey time. Milan, fifth in the 20-team table, host Bologna, who sit 13th. The gap between the two sides in points, goal difference and scoring numbers offers useful clues about how the match could unfold.

Match Information

League: Italy Serie A
Date: October 28, 2026
Time (TR): 20:30
Home: AC Milan
Away: Bologna

To see the dates and kick-off times of other games, visit our fixtures page.

Recent Form

AC Milan have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, which equals 10 of a possible 15 points. Bologna have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over the same stretch, collecting 7 points. Over the last five games, the home side is 3 points ahead of their opponent.

Milan's extra win and one fewer defeat suggest a steadier run in recent weeks. Bologna's split of 2 wins and 2 losses points to a fluctuating spell in terms of results.

League Standings

The table shows the difference clearly. Milan have 15 points from 7 matches and sit 5th with a goal difference of +7, placing them among the sides with a strong goal balance. Bologna have 8 points from 8 matches, sit 13th and carry a goal difference of -2.

Converted to points per match, the gap widens: Milan average roughly 2.14 and Bologna exactly 1.00. Milan have also played one match fewer than Bologna yet lead by 7 points. To follow the current table, our standings page helps you see the ranking context of this fixture.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Milan lead in goal production. The home side scores 2.2 goals per match on average and concedes 1.2, and the total goals average in their matches reaches 3.4. Bologna's numbers are more balanced: 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per match, with a total goals average of 2.4. In other words, Milan's matches produce one more goal on average than Bologna's.

The Over percentages support this gap. In Milan's matches the Over rate is 100% at the lowest goal tier, 80% at the middle tier and 40% at the highest tier. For Bologna the same three tiers read 80%, 40% and 20%. Especially at the middle and high tiers, Milan's tendency to play goal-heavy games is clearly ahead of Bologna's more cautious profile.

The both-teams-to-score data creates an interesting contrast. In Milan's matches both teams scored 40% of the time, while in Bologna's matches the figure is 60%. Read together with Milan's high scoring average, the low both-teams-to-score rate suggests that a good share of the home side's goals come in games where the opponent fails to score. Bologna see two-way scoring more often in their own matches, which keeps the possibility of the visitors finding the net against Milan's defense on the table.

In iTahmin data this match carries an Over potential tag, but the level is marked as weak/risky and the risk reads as high. There is a reasonable explanation: although Milan's side is goal-heavy, Bologna's Over rates are low, particularly at the higher tiers. Because the two profiles do not point in the same direction, the uncertainty around the number of goals is considerable.

iTahmin Verdict

The data points to an edge for the home side, AC Milan. The higher league position, the 7-point gap, the +7 goal difference, 10 points from the last five matches and a 2.2 goals-per-match average all feed that picture. Bologna look more fragile: 13th, with a negative goal difference and 2 defeats in their last five. Even so, the visitors' average of 1.2 goals per match and a 60% both-teams-to-score rate hint that Milan's defense could concede some openings.

On goal expectation the picture is mixed. Milan's 3.4 match average points to a medium-to-high tempo, while Bologna's 2.4 pulls the balance downward. For that reason it is more realistic to read the Over potential as a weak/risky signal rather than a strong one. Any single football match can produce surprises; this analysis only outlines an expectation in light of the available statistics. You can also explore our predictions page for other matches.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is AC Milan vs Bologna?

The match will be played on October 28, 2026 at 20:30 Turkey time.

Which league or tournament is AC Milan vs Bologna part of?

The fixture is part of Italy Serie A, where Milan are 5th and Bologna are 13th.

What is the recent form of AC Milan and Bologna?

Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Bologna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.