Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa Prediction | October 26, 2026

In this Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa prediction, we preview the UEFA Champions League match scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 19:00 Turkey time, using recent form and goal statistics. Both teams have recently been scoring and conceding goals, which makes this fixture interesting from a goal-expectation point of view. You can find more analysis on our predictions page.

Match Information

Match: Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa
League: UEFA Champions League
Date: October 26, 2026
Time (TR): 19:00

To see other matches on the schedule, you can browse the fixtures page. Venue, referee and manager details are not included in this analysis.

Recent Form

Home side Al Ahli Jeddah collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five matches. That is 10 points out of a possible 15. The form line is encouraging. Winning three of five suggests a side that knows how to create chances and turn them into results. The single defeat and single draw show the run has not been entirely flawless.

Away side Al Gharafa have a more uneven picture. Over their last five matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, which amounts to just 5 points out of 15. The 5-point gap between the teams gives Al Ahli Jeddah a clear edge on form. Still, Al Gharafa's two draws suggest they do not give up easily and tend to keep matches competitive.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

The most striking aspect of this match is how similar the two teams' goal averages are. Al Ahli Jeddah score 2.4 goals per match and concede 1.2, with an average of 3.6 total goals in their matches. Al Gharafa score 1.8 and concede 1.8 per match, and their matches also average 3.6 total goals. In other words, both sides have been involved in high-scoring games recently.

Reading the numbers together leads to several conclusions:

Al Ahli Jeddah are productive going forward: A scoring average of 2.4, set against the 1.8 goals Al Gharafa concede per match, supports the case for the hosts finding the net.
Al Gharafa look vulnerable defensively: Conceding 1.8 goals per match stands out when combined with the opponent's attacking output. At the same time, the visitors also score 1.8 per match, which is above the 1.2 that Al Ahli Jeddah concede.
The both-teams-to-score trend is strong: The both-teams-to-score rate is 80% in the matches of both sides. In four of five games, both teams found the net.
High-scoring tendency: Al Ahli Jeddah's matches reach 100% at the lowest goal threshold and Al Gharafa's reach 80%. At the next threshold up, both teams stand at 80%. At the highest threshold, both are at 60%. High-scoring games are therefore a regular feature for both teams, not an exception.

Taken together, these numbers point to an open game with goals likely at both ends, and the shared 3.6 goal average supports that reading. iTahmin's high-scoring potential tag for this match is at a medium level. The data gives a positive signal for goals, but it is not one-sided enough to lift the picture to a strong level. The goal averages and high percentages back the tag, which is consistent with a medium risk level.

iTahmin Verdict

According to the data, Al Ahli Jeddah come out slightly ahead. Their 10 points from the last five matches are double the 5 points of their opponents. They also show a balanced and productive profile, with 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Al Gharafa have the capacity to score, but their goals-against average and low points tally make this a tougher assignment for them.

Goal expectation looks high. Both teams play matches that average 3.6 goals, and both-teams-to-score rates of 80% point to an open, lively contest. That said, single matches can fall outside statistical patterns, so this assessment is an expectation framework and makes no claim of certainty. If you also want standings context, you can check our standings page.

In short, form momentum favours the hosts, while goal expectation looks high on both sides' numbers. The likelihood of a two-way, goal-filled match is the main statistical storyline.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa and what time does it kick off?

The match will be played on October 26, 2026 at 19:00 Turkey time.

Which league or competition is Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa part of?

The match is part of the UEFA Champions League.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Al Ahli Jeddah have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five matches. Al Gharafa have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats over the same period.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.