Albania vs Finland Prediction | November 12, 2026

This Albania vs Finland prediction and match preview looks at the UEFA Nations League fixture scheduled for November 12, 2026, at 22:45 Turkey time. The recent form of both sides, their goal output and their defensive balance are the key indicators shaping expectations. Instead of simply listing numbers, we try to explain what they mean on the pitch. You can also browse the latest schedule on our fixtures page.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Home team: Albania
Away team: Finland
Date: November 12, 2026
Time (Turkey): 22:45

Recent Form

Albania have taken three wins and two defeats in their last five matches, with no draws in that spell. The sequence reads loss, win, loss, win, win. The absence of draws suggests that Albania's matches tend to be decided one way or the other, which is a first sign that this game could open up. Three wins translate to nine points over those five matches.

Finland, meanwhile, have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. The sequence is loss, win, draw, win, loss, which adds up to seven points. Albania's two-point lead gives the hosts a small edge in the form table. However, Finland's alternating pattern of defeats and wins leaves a question mark over consistency. With both teams having lost twice in five games, neither side will walk onto the pitch with complete comfort.

If you want to compare this fixture with other games, our predictions page is a useful starting point. Form should always be read together with goal data rather than on its own.

League Standings

No standings data was provided for this fixture, so this section is not covered in this preview.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Albania score an average of 1.6 goals per match and concede an average of 1.6. This balance means their matches average 3.2 goals in total, giving them a symmetrical profile as both a scoring and conceding side. All of Albania's recent matches cleared the low goal threshold, and 80% went beyond the mid-range threshold. In other words, the hosts' recent games have been lively in terms of goals.

Finland's profile is different. They average 2.0 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match, for 2.8 total goals per game. Their attacking output is higher than Albania's, while their defensive record is clearly sturdier. Even so, 60% of Finland's matches cleared the low threshold and 60% cleared the mid-range one. That suggests Finland's matches flow in a slightly more controlled way than Albania's.

The both-teams-to-score rate is 40% for both sides. This indicates that games in which both nets are breached are not the majority; scenarios where one side scores and the other is shut out are more common. The share of matches clearing the high threshold is just 20% for each team, so even if goals arrive, this does not necessarily point to a high-scoring spectacle.

Given these numbers, iTahmin's Over potential tag sits at a "medium" level with a medium risk rating. The basis for the tag is Albania's high Over rate, while Finland's figures pull the picture slightly downward.

iTahmin Verdict

According to the data, Albania look slightly ahead as the home side in terms of form points and goal-heavy matches. Finland's strongest card is their defence, with just 0.8 goals conceded per match, and they also reach 2.0 goals per game in attack. Because the averages of the two teams are close, it is hard to name a clear favourite; a balanced contest is the more realistic expectation.

On goal expectation, the picture is moderate. When Albania's 1.6 goals conceded per match meets Finland's 2.0 goals scored, the visitors' chances of finding the net remain on the table. At the same time, Finland's defensive solidity will test Albania's 1.6 attacking average. These opposing strengths are among the main reasons the Over potential stays at a medium level. The low both-teams-to-score rates also remind us that one side could keep a clean sheet.

Overall, the match has a structure that gives the hosts a small edge in form and the visitors an edge in defensive balance. Rather than reaching a firm conclusion, expecting a balanced game with a real chance of goals fits the data better. You can follow league and tournament tables on our standings page.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is Albania vs Finland?

The match will be played on November 12, 2026, at 22:45 Turkey time.

Which league or tournament is Albania vs Finland part of?

The fixture is played as part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the recent form of Albania and Finland?

Albania have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last five matches, while Finland have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.