Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction | October 18, 2026

This Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction looks at the Germany Bundesliga fixture on October 18, 2026, which kicks off at 16:30 Turkey time. Both sides come in unbeaten across their last five matches, so the game offers an interesting picture in terms of form and goal expectation. For more previews and analysis, visit the iTahmin match predictions page.

Match Information

League: Germany Bundesliga
Match: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Date: October 18, 2026
Kick-off (TR time): 16:30

If you want to see the rest of the day's matches, our fixtures page lists this game alongside the other contests.

Recent Form

The last five matches of both teams mirror each other: Bayer Leverkusen have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats, and SC Freiburg have exactly the same record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Leverkusen's run reads W-W-W-D-W, while Freiburg's reads W-D-W-W-W. There is no form gap large enough to establish an advantage. Both sides have gone without a defeat for some time, which suggests they will take the pitch with confidence.

This balance suggests the match could be decided by small details. Since both teams have kept producing results, a game that keeps a high tempo and where neither side gives up easily looks plausible.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

This is the most interesting part. Over their last five matches, Bayer Leverkusen scored 2.8 goals per game and conceded 1, with an average of 3.8 total goals in their matches. SC Freiburg also scored 2.8 goals per game but looked more solid defensively: they conceded 0.8 per game, with a total-goals average of 3.6. Put together, the two averages are a strong sign that goals will not be in short supply here.

In attack the two teams are identical (2.8). The difference shows up at the back: Freiburg's goals-conceded average is slightly lower than Leverkusen's. On the other hand, Leverkusen's matches have produced more total goals, which points to a team that scores plenty and also concedes, playing an open style.

The high-scoring percentages point in the same direction. Across different goal thresholds, Leverkusen's matches recorded rates of 100%, 60% and 60%. For Freiburg, the same rates are 80%, 80% and 60%. Leverkusen reaching 100% at the lowest threshold shows that a match with no goals has almost never happened for them recently, while Freiburg's 80% at the middle threshold shows the away side's games are lively too.

On both teams scoring, the two sides diverge. Leverkusen's matches saw both teams score 40% of the time, compared with 60% for Freiburg. That gap suggests Leverkusen hit the net often yet can keep their own goal shut at times, while in Freiburg games both sides finding the net is more common. So even though the overall goal expectation is high, it is hard to say with confidence whether the goals will come from both teams.

Based on these figures, the iTahmin high-scoring potential tag for this match is rated "strong/playable" with low risk. The tag rests on the high average goal count and the consistency of the high-scoring rates. You can check current table data on our standings page.

iTahmin Verdict

The data shows no clear edge for either side. Form is level and attacking averages are level; Freiburg concede slightly fewer goals, while Leverkusen stand out in total-goals average. It is therefore more realistic to expect a balanced, competitive game than to pick a clear favorite.

Goal expectation, however, sits on the high side. Total-goals averages of 3.8 and 3.6 per match both point to a fast-paced 90 minutes with plenty of chances. By the nature of football, though, no outcome is assured; a quiet start could open up after an early goal, or the game could turn cautious. The numbers only indicate a tendency.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?

The match will be played on October 18, 2026, at 16:30 Turkey time.

Which league or competition is this match part of?

The match is part of the Germany Bundesliga.

What is the current form of the teams?

Both teams have taken 4 wins and 1 draw from their last five matches without a defeat. Leverkusen's run is W-W-W-D-W and Freiburg's is W-D-W-W-W.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.