Belgium vs Italy Prediction | November 15, 2026

If you are looking for a Belgium vs Italy prediction, this preview examines the UEFA Nations League fixture on November 15, 2026, kicking off at 22:45 Turkey time, through form and goal data. The recent five-match records of the two sides tell different stories: Belgium's graph is up and down, while Italy looks steadier at collecting points. The goal averages of both teams are close, yet there are notable differences in the details. For more of our current analysis, you can also visit our predictions page.

Match Information

Fixture: Belgium vs Italy
League: UEFA Nations League
Date: November 15, 2026
Time (TR): 22:45

To see the other matches of the week, take a look at our fixtures page.

Recent Form

Belgium has recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in its last five matches, with no draws. The sequence runs loss-win-loss-win-loss, so the team never managed two wins in a row at any point. The absence of draws also suggests that its matches usually tip to one side. This picture indicates that Belgium's form momentum has not turned into a clear upward trend.

Italy, over the same period, has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, in the order win-draw-win-loss-draw. Taking points in four of five matches shows that Italy has held a steadier line than Belgium. Only one defeat and no back-to-back losses support that consistency.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Belgium averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match. This balance produces a 2.8 total-goal average per match and suggests that the team's games are played openly. The Over rate is 80% at the lowest goal threshold, drops to 60% at the middle threshold and falls to 20% at the highest. In other words, goals are frequent in Belgium matches, but high-scoring games are rare. The both-teams-to-score rate of 40% is relatively low, showing that in a share of its matches the team either keeps a clean sheet or fails to score.

Italy scores 1.6 and concedes 1.0 goals per match. Its total-goal average of 2.6 is slightly below Belgium's, because Italy's defensive side is sturdier. Its both-teams-to-score rate of 60% is above Belgium's, while its Over rates are 80% at the lowest threshold, 40% at the middle and 40% at the highest. Italy's rate at the top threshold is higher than Belgium's, and its middle-threshold rate is lower. This suggests that Italy's matches either stay limited in scoring or open up noticeably.

Reading the two teams against each other leads to this conclusion: Italy's attacking average of 1.6 is above the 1.4 Belgium concedes, and Belgium's attacking average of 1.4 is above the 1.0 Italy concedes. Both sides produce more than the opposing defence's average, but the margin is small. So rather than a one-sided goal fest, a balanced, two-way match scenario stands out.

The iTahmin Over potential tag for this match is at a weak/risky level, with a high risk rating. Even though the goal statistics point to an eventful match, this expectation is not backed by strong data. Belgium's 60% Over rate at the middle threshold offers some support, while Italy's 40% at the same threshold balances that expectation.

iTahmin Verdict

Looking at the data overall, Italy appears slightly advantaged. Taking points in four of five matches, a lower goals-conceded average (1.0 against 1.4) and a higher goals-scored average (1.6 against 1.4) are the concrete numbers that support this impression. On the other hand, Belgium's two wins in an inconsistent run are not enough to tilt the balance completely; the closeness of the two attacking averages could keep the match open.

Goal expectation is at a medium level. With per-match averages of 2.8 and 2.6, neither a very low-scoring nor an extremely high-scoring match stands out. The risky Over potential tag is also a reminder to stay cautious on the goals side of this match. For the current ranking context, you can check our standings page. This assessment rests solely on past data and carries no claim about how the match will end.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Belgium vs Italy and what time does it kick off?

The match will be played on November 15, 2026, at 22:45 Turkey time.

Which league or tournament is Belgium vs Italy part of?

The fixture is part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the form of Belgium and Italy?

Belgium has 2 wins and 3 losses in its last five matches, while Italy has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.