Cyprus vs Montenegro Prediction | November 15, 2026

This Cyprus vs Montenegro prediction and match preview looks at the UEFA Nations League fixture scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 17:00 Turkish time. The game pairs two contrasting profiles: a home side built on defensive discipline and a visiting team that is far more productive going forward. To follow other games, visit our fixtures page.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Date: November 15, 2026
Time (TR): 17:00
Home: Cyprus
Away: Montenegro

Recent Form

Cyprus have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last five matches (W-W-D-L-W). The 10 points collected over five games show a home side that usually finds a result but cannot fully avoid defeat. Wins make up most of the run, which is encouraging, yet the single loss is a reminder that even this defensively solid team can be broken down.

Montenegro, over the same period, have not lost: 3 wins and 2 draws (D-W-W-W-D). That unbeaten run of 11 points points to a resilient and consistent visiting team. At the same time, the two draws show that Montenegro do not manage to close out every match. Cyprus average 2.0 points per game and Montenegro 2.2, so the form sheet gives the visitors a slight edge, but the gap is narrow and the picture is balanced.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Cyprus score 1.4 goals per match and concede just 0.6. This balance suggests a home side inclined to keep games controlled and low in tempo. Their average total goals per match stays at 2.0, and their both-teams-to-score rate is 40%. In the highest goal tier, Cyprus matches show an Over rate of 0%, so high-scoring scenarios are rare in their games.

The Montenegro side of the picture is much livelier. The visitors score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per match, pushing their average total goals to 3.0. Their both-teams-to-score rate of 80% is exactly double that of Cyprus. The Over rate is 80% in both the lowest and middle goal tiers and 40% in the highest tier. In other words, in most Montenegro matches both teams find the net.

When the two profiles meet, the open questions become clearer. Cyprus' attacking average of 1.4 against the 1.2 Montenegro concede gives a simple-average expectation of roughly 1.3 goals for Cyprus. Montenegro's attacking average of 1.8 against Cyprus' defensive record of 0.6 brings their expectation down to roughly 1.2 goals. This suggests that the Cyprus defence could pull Montenegro's scoring well below its usual level, while the Montenegro defence may leave the hosts a little more room. The one-goal gap in total-goal averages (2.0 and 3.0) is the most uncertain aspect of the match when it comes to tempo.

iTahmin Verdict

Read together, the numbers do not point in a single direction on tempo. Montenegro's unbeaten form and higher scoring average put the visitors slightly ahead, while Cyprus' concession average of 0.6 gives the hosts a defensive credit that is not easily undone. In the expectation calculation both teams produce around one goal each, which highlights the chance of a balanced match decided by fine margins.

The iTahmin Over potential tag for this match is marked as weak/risky, with a high risk level. The reason is that the data conflict: Montenegro's profile points to a goal-filled game, while Cyprus' low total-goal average and their 0% record in the highest tier weaken that scenario. A high-scoring match is possible, but the numbers do not support it strongly.

In short, form momentum offers Montenegro a slight advantage, while Cyprus' defensive solidity could pull the game toward a tight scoreline. For similar previews, see our predictions page, and to follow the current table, visit our standings page.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is Cyprus vs Montenegro being played?

The match will be played on November 15, 2026 at 17:00 Turkish time.

Which league or tournament is Cyprus vs Montenegro part of?

The fixture is part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the current form of Cyprus and Montenegro?

Cyprus have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last five matches, while Montenegro are unbeaten with 3 wins and 2 draws.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.