England vs Croatia Prediction | November 12, 2026

This England vs Croatia prediction and match preview looks at the UEFA Nations League fixture on November 12, 2026, scheduled for 22:45 Turkish time. The recent numbers for the two sides paint very different pictures: England score regularly and concede very little, while Croatia are struggling at the back. That contrast carries clear clues about the goal expectation for this game. For other fixtures, you can browse our predictions page.

Match Information

Match: England vs Croatia
League: UEFA Nations League
Date: November 12, 2026
Time (Turkey): 22:45

The full schedule and kick-off times for other games are available on the fixtures page.

Recent Form

England have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five matches, which points to a largely steady run. The more telling detail sits behind those results: England average 2.8 goals scored per match while conceding only 0.6. They tend to dominate at the attacking end and protect their own goal well at the same time.

Croatia present the opposite picture. With just 1 win and 4 defeats in their last five matches, their form momentum is clearly behind England's. They score 1.0 goals per match and concede 3.2. That gap suggests a real fragility in defence, with an attack that is not producing enough to make up for it.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

England's matches average 3.4 total goals, and Croatia's average 4.2. Both figures point to a lively game, but the sources differ: England's total is driven mainly by their own scoring, whereas Croatia's is pushed up largely by the goals they let in.

The share of matches with three or more goals is 60% for England and 100% for Croatia. Matches with two or more goals make up 80% of England's games and 100% of Croatia's. Matches with four or more goals stand at 40% for both teams. Taken together, the goal expectation looks high, though a very high-scoring game would need a more extreme scenario.

Both teams to score is where the two sides diverge. In England's matches it happens only 20% of the time, which fits with their 0.6 goals conceded per match. In Croatia's matches the figure is 80%: they concede a lot, but they still find at least one goal in most games. Read together, England's defensive structure will test Croatia's habit of scoring, while Croatia's leaky defence should give England plenty of chances.

Another signal is the high-scoring potential tag, rated strong/playable with low risk. Its reasons are the average goal totals and the high share of matches with three or more goals. For the latest table and results elsewhere, see the standings page.

iTahmin Verdict

The data points to England entering this match with the advantage. Three wins in the last five, a 2.8 scoring average and a 0.6 conceding average give the home side the edge in both form and balance. Croatia's 1 win and 4 defeats, along with 3.2 goals conceded per match, make this a demanding assignment for the visitors.

The goal expectation leans high. Croatia's 4.2 total-goal average and their 100% rate of matches with three or more goals, combined with England's 2.8 scoring average, support the high-scoring potential. At the same time, England's 20% both-teams-to-score rate keeps the possibility alive that the scoreline ends up one-sided. Football is never decided by one data set, and this assessment only reflects the expectation the available numbers suggest.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the England vs Croatia match and what time does it start?

The match is on November 12, 2026, at 22:45 Turkish time.

Which league or tournament is the match part of?

The fixture is part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the current form of both teams?

England have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five matches. Croatia have 1 win and 4 defeats over the same period.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.