Estonia vs Bulgaria Prediction | November 16, 2026

This Estonia vs Bulgaria prediction and analysis covers the UEFA Nations League fixture scheduled for November 16, 2026, at 20:00 Turkish time. The recent paths of the two sides differ noticeably: Estonia has gone unbeaten over its last five matches, while Bulgaria has followed a more uneven course. The goal statistics also offer interesting clues about the tempo of the game. For more match previews, you can visit our predictions page.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Fixture: Estonia vs Bulgaria
Date: November 16, 2026
Time (TR): 20:00

To see the schedule of other matches, you can check the fixtures page.

Recent Form

Estonia is unbeaten over its last five matches with 2 wins and 3 draws (D-W-D-D-W). The notable point is that three of those five games ended level. In other words, Estonia is not losing, but it is also struggling to put games away. The unbeaten run gives the hosts confidence in terms of defensive discipline, while the draw-heavy record shows that scoring output has remained limited.

Bulgaria's last five matches read W-L-D-L-D: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Having twice as many defeats as wins suggests the visitors are still searching for consistency. On the other hand, the two draws show that Bulgaria is not always the side that falls behind. On paper, the form table favors Estonia, but the gap is not large enough to describe as a one-sided advantage.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

The most striking aspect of this match is the gap between the two teams' goal profiles. Estonia scores only 0.6 goals per match and concedes 0.2, producing 0.8 total goals per match, one of the lowest-scoring environments you could find. Their both-teams-to-score rate stands at 20 percent. Only 20 percent of Estonia's matches have gone past the lowest goal line, and the Over rate is 0 percent at the higher lines. This picture shows that the hosts play low-tempo, controlled matches.

Bulgaria's side is very different. The visitors score 1.0 goals per match while conceding 1.4, which lifts their average to 2.4 total goals per match. Their both-teams-to-score rate is 40 percent. Their Over rates fall step by step as the goal line rises: 80 percent, 60 percent and 20 percent. In other words, seeing goals in Bulgaria matches is far more common than in Estonia matches.

Placing the two profiles side by side gives an interesting picture. Estonia's attacking average of 0.6 looks modest next to the 1.4 goals Bulgaria concedes, but the hosts' defensive average of 0.2 could make life difficult for Bulgaria's 1.0 attacking output. The midpoint of the two sides' total goal averages (0.8 and 2.4) is roughly 1.6 goals, which suggests that expectations cluster in the low-to-moderate range rather than pointing to a high-scoring game. The Over potential tag is therefore at a weak/risky level with a high risk rating, because the two teams' data do not point in the same direction.

iTahmin Verdict

Looking at the data, Estonia appears slightly ahead on form: five unbeaten matches, a low goals-conceded average and the comfort of playing at home all support that edge. However, because the hosts' attacking output is low, there is no strong scoring evidence that this edge would turn into a clear win. The draw-heavy record also keeps a balanced result firmly in the picture.

Bulgaria's biggest asset is its attacking output of 1.0 goals per match and its tendency to contribute to games with goals. On the other hand, the 1.4 goals-conceded average and two defeats show that defensive solidity away from home may be questioned. When Estonia's defensive average meets Bulgaria's attacking average, a limited goal count looks more plausible than a high one. Still, this reading rests only on the available data, and surprises are always possible in football.

You can follow the current competition table on the standings page.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is the Estonia vs Bulgaria match?

The match will be played on November 16, 2026, at 20:00 Turkish time.

Which league or tournament is Estonia vs Bulgaria part of?

The fixture is part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the form of the two teams?

Estonia is unbeaten in its last five matches with 2 wins and 3 draws, while Bulgaria has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats over the same period.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.