Everton vs Newcastle Prediction | October 29, 2026

This Everton vs Newcastle prediction covers the England EFL Cup match to be played on October 29, 2026 at 22:45 Turkey time. Cup ties can break a team's usual form pattern, and a single result can change the mood around a side, so it pays to look closely at how both teams have been performing recently. For more fixtures, you can also browse our predictions page.

Match Information

League: England EFL Cup
Match: Everton vs Newcastle
Date: October 29, 2026
Time (TR): 22:45

You can find the rest of the day's matches on our fixtures page.

Recent Form

Everton have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last five matches. Avoiding defeat in three of those five suggests a side that is balanced but inconsistent. The equal number of wins and losses confirms that picture.

Newcastle have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses over the same period, with no draws. That suggests Newcastle matches tend to swing one way or the other, with few results left in the middle. Having more losses than wins puts the visitors a step behind in terms of form momentum. Still, the two wins show they are capable of getting results.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

The most interesting aspect of this match is how different the two teams' goal profiles are.

Everton: They score 0.8 goals per match and concede 1.2. Their average total goals per match is 2.0. Their both-teams-to-score rate is only 20%, and their Over rate is also 20%. At a lower goal threshold the Over rate rises to 60%. In other words, goals do arrive in Everton matches, but scorelines are rarely high. Attacking output below 1 per game shows a team that finds it hard to score.

Newcastle: They score 1.2 goals per match and concede 2.0. Their average total goals per match is 3.2. Their both-teams-to-score rate is 60%, their Over rate is 60%, and even at a higher threshold it stays at 40%. Conceding 2 goals per match shows that Newcastle games tend to be open.

The midpoint of the two averages sits around 2.6 goals. That reflects two different profiles meeting: Everton's low-tempo, low-scoring pattern against Newcastle's leaky defence and goal-friendly games. Newcastle's 2.0 goals conceded is well above Everton's 0.8 goals scored, which suggests Everton may need to exceed their own scoring average. Likewise, Newcastle's 1.2 goals scored matches exactly the 1.2 that Everton concede.

The Over potential tag for this match is marked weak/risky, with a high risk level. The reason is easy to see: Everton's numbers point to a low-scoring game, while Newcastle's point to a high-scoring one. The signals conflict, so it is hard to speak of a clear Over trend.

For the latest table context, take a look at our standings page.

iTahmin Verdict

The data gives Everton a slight edge in form: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Newcastle's 2 wins and 3 losses. Playing at home and facing a Newcastle side that concedes 2.0 goals per match both support that edge. However, Everton's scoring average of 0.8 limits it.

On goal expectation, the picture is mixed. Everton's 20% both-teams-to-score and Over rates point to a cautious match, while Newcastle's 3.2 goals per match keeps the possibility of a more open game alive. It is therefore more realistic to read goal expectation as a moderate scenario with a high degree of uncertainty. The timing of the first goal could shape much of how the match unfolds. No outcome can be known in advance, and this assessment rests only on the available data.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is Everton vs Newcastle?

The match will be played on October 29, 2026 at 22:45 Turkey time.

Which league or tournament is Everton vs Newcastle in?

The match is part of the England EFL Cup.

What is the form of the two teams?

Everton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Newcastle have 2 wins and 3 losses.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.