Germany vs Netherlands Prediction | November 16, 2026

This analysis is for readers looking for a Germany vs Netherlands prediction. It covers the UEFA Nations League match to be played on November 16, 2026 at 22:45 Turkey time. Two of Europe's most established football nations meet in a fixture that offers an interesting picture in terms of recent form and goal-scoring tendencies. Below, we interpret both sides using only the data available. For assessments of other matches, you can also visit our predictions page.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Home team: Germany
Away team: Netherlands
Date: November 16, 2026
Time (TR): 22:45

If you want to follow the current match schedule, our fixtures page is a practical resource.

Recent Form

There is a clear difference in the last five matches of the two teams. Germany recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in this period, which adds up to 5 points from five games. The home side avoided defeat in three of those five matches, but picking up all three points only once suggests difficulty in turning matches into wins. The weight of draws and losses positions Germany as a team still searching for balance rather than one in strong form.

The Netherlands, on the other hand, collected 8 points over the same span with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. Unbeaten in four of their last five matches, the visitors appear ahead of their opponent in terms of form momentum. On paper, the more consistent side is the Netherlands, but the advantage Germany gets from playing at home should not be ignored.

League Standings

No standings data was provided for this match, so we do not draw conclusions about league positions here. For the latest table, you can check our standings page.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

The most interesting aspect of this match is how different the two teams' goal profiles are. Germany scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1.4, for a total of 2.8 goals per game. Their both-teams-to-score rate is only 40%, which shows that in most Germany matches at least one side fails to find the net. Their Over rates also fall step by step across increasing goal levels: 60%, 20% and 20% respectively. This sequence suggests Germany's matches usually run at a low-to-moderate tempo.

The picture on the Netherlands side is completely different. The visitors score 2.0 goals per match, concede 1.8, and their games average 3.8 goals. Both teams scored in all of their last five matches, a 100% rate. Their Over rates at the same levels are 100%, 80% and 40% respectively. The fact that the Netherlands is productive in attack but porous in defense turns their matches into open games with plenty of chances.

Combining the two teams' average match goals (2.8 and 3.8) gives roughly 3.3. However, this number alone can be misleading: Germany's cautious tendency meets the Netherlands' open style, and the tempo will depend on which side drags the game onto its preferred ground. iTahmin's "Over potential" tag for this match is at a weak/risky level, with a high risk rating. That reflects how, even though the Netherlands' goal numbers are strong, Germany's lower-scoring profile keeps the picture unclear.

iTahmin Verdict

Looking at the data, the Netherlands appears one step ahead in form: 8 points against 5, four matches unbeaten and a scoring average of 2.0 goals per game. Germany, despite playing at home, managed only one win in their last five matches, and with goals scored (1.4) and goals conceded (1.4) identical, the team presents a balanced picture that has not yet built a clear edge.

On the goal front, two scenarios stand out. If the Netherlands' style opens the game up, both teams scoring and a high-scoring outcome could come into play. If Germany pulls the game into its own tempo, the scoreline may stay more controlled. The weak/risky tag confirms this uncertainty. Rather than claiming a clear superiority, it is more accurate to say the Netherlands looks advantaged on form while the goal side looks unbalanced.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is the Germany vs Netherlands match?

The match will be played on November 16, 2026 at 22:45 Turkey time.

Which league or tournament is Germany vs Netherlands part of?

The match is part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the recent form of Germany and the Netherlands?

Germany has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in its last five matches. The Netherlands has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over the same period.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.