Greece vs Serbia Prediction | November 16, 2026

This Greece vs Serbia prediction looks at the UEFA Nations League fixture scheduled for November 16, 2026, at 22:45 Turkey time, using the form and goal statistics of both sides. The match pairs a home team that has not lost in its last five games with a visitor that has lost all of its last five, and that contrast in form makes it an interesting one to study. For other fixtures, you can also browse our predictions page.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Date: November 16, 2026
Time (Turkey): 22:45
Fixture: Greece vs Serbia

To see the rest of the schedule, you can follow the fixtures page.

Recent Form

Greece took 2 wins and 3 draws from their last five matches and did not suffer a single defeat. Their last five results read D-D-W-W-D. This points to a balanced side that is hard to beat. However, three draws in five games also suggest that Greece, although unbeaten, have found it difficult to close matches out.

Serbia are in the opposite situation. All of their last five matches ended in defeat (L-L-L-L-L), with no wins and no draws. Five straight losses suggest a team going through a difficult spell in terms of confidence. Put side by side, the form momentum clearly favours Greece.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Greece score 1.0 goals per match and concede 0.6. Their average of 1.6 total goals per match is quite low. This suggests that the home side's games are generally controlled, slow in tempo and low scoring. Their both-teams-to-score rate is 40% and their Over rate is 40%, while the rate of high-scoring games is just 20%. In other words, six out of every ten Greece matches do not go Over.

The picture for Serbia is very different. The visitors score just 0.8 goals per match while conceding 2.6, which lifts the total goals average in their games to 3.4. Their both-teams-to-score rate is 80% and their Over rate is 80%; at the lowest goal threshold, the Over rate reaches 100%. Put another way, every one of Serbia's last five matches produced at least a few goals. The rate of high-scoring games is 20%, the same as Greece. This suggests that in Serbia's matches most goals come at the opposite end, with defensive gaps shaping the scoreline.

The two sets of numbers send conflicting signals. On one side is a slow-tempo home team averaging 1.6 goals per match; on the other is a visitor conceding 2.6 goals per game. Serbia's output of only 0.8 goals per match in attack also shows that their leaky defence is not being offset on the scoreboard. For the goal count to climb, Greece would need to be more productive in attack than they usually are.

iTahmin Verdict

On the data, Greece look like the favoured side. The hosts arrive unbeaten while Serbia are in the middle of a five-match losing run. Greece conceding 0.6 goals per match, combined with Serbia's attacking output of 0.8, creates a scenario in which the visitors could struggle to find the net. Even so, Greece scoring only 1.0 goals per match is a reminder that this edge may not translate into a big scoreline.

The goal expectation picture is mixed. Serbia's defensive numbers give a strong signal towards Over, but Greece's low-tempo profile balances it out. For that reason, the iTahmin Over potential tag for this match is marked as weak/risky, with a high risk level. In short, goal expectation looks moderate, with a high degree of uncertainty. Readers who want the wider league context can check the standings page.

To sum up: the home side stand out for their form and defensive balance, while the visitors are struggling for results and attacking output. Still, given the nature of football, no outcome can be guaranteed; the numbers only indicate tendencies.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the Greece vs Serbia match and what time does it start?

The match will be played on November 16, 2026, at 22:45 Turkey time.

Which league or competition is Greece vs Serbia part of?

The fixture is part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the current form of Greece and Serbia?

Greece are unbeaten in their last five matches with 2 wins and 3 draws. Serbia have lost all of their last five matches.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.