Luxembourg vs Estonia Prediction | November 13, 2026

This Luxembourg vs Estonia prediction and analysis covers the UEFA Nations League fixture to be played on November 13, 2026 at 22:45 Turkish time. Because both sides have limited goal output, the match points to a scenario shaped more by defensive discipline and small details than by an attacking showcase. You can find analyses of other fixtures on our predictions page.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Fixture: Luxembourg vs Estonia
Date: November 13, 2026
Time (TR): 22:45

To see the rest of the day's matches, take a look at the fixtures page.

Recent Form

Luxembourg's last five matches read two wins, no draws and three defeats. This suggests the home side's games tend to fall one way or the other rather than ending level. However, with defeats in the majority, the form momentum is clearly not stable.

Estonia present the opposite profile: two wins, three draws and no defeats in their last five. An unbeaten run shows that the visitors keep their habit of collecting points even in tough games. Three draws also indicate that Estonia matches are often level on the scoreboard. If you want to follow the wider picture in the competition, the standings page may also be useful.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Luxembourg score an average of 0.6 goals per match and concede 1.4, with an average of 2.0 total goals per match. Conceding more than twice as many goals as they score suggests the home side can allow chances at the back. The Over rate stands at 60% at the low goal line, 40% at the middle line and 0% at the high line. In other words, Luxembourg matches lean towards a limited number of goals, and a high-scoring game is the exception according to this data. A both-teams-to-score rate of 20% also shows that both nets being breached is rare.

The picture for Estonia is even quieter. They score 0.6 goals per match, concede only 0.2, and the average total goals per match stays at 0.8. The Over rate is 20% at the low line and 0% at the middle and high lines, while the both-teams-to-score rate is 20%. These numbers show that Estonia matches rarely produce many goals and that defence is the side's strongest asset.

Placing the two profiles side by side reveals an interesting balance. Luxembourg's 1.4 goals conceded per match seems to open space for Estonia at first glance, but the visitors score only 0.6 per match. On the other hand, Estonia's 0.2 goals conceded suggests a defensive resilience that could challenge Luxembourg's 0.6 attacking output. Both teams share the same scoring average; defence makes the difference.

In iTahmin data, the Over potential tag is marked as weak/risky with a high risk level. In other words, an expectation built on a high goal count is not supported by the available numbers in this matchup.

iTahmin Verdict

Looking at the data, Estonia appear one step ahead on paper thanks to their unbeaten form and low goals-conceded average. Still, since their attacking output is at the same level as Luxembourg's, this edge may not turn into a clear margin on the scoreboard. Luxembourg, as the home side, carry uneven form. Three defeats in the last five may have dented confidence, yet the home side's tendency to concede, considered together with Estonia's low-scoring nature, creates only a limited risk.

The general expectation is a low-tempo, low-scoring match. Estonia's draw count and both teams' low goal averages suggest a balanced result is a live possibility. In football a single moment can change the picture, so the comments above are only a reading of the available data.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Luxembourg vs Estonia and what time does it start?

The match will be played on November 13, 2026 at 22:45 Turkish time.

Which league or competition is Luxembourg vs Estonia part of?

This fixture is part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the current form of both teams?

Luxembourg have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five matches, while Estonia are unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.