Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction | November 12, 2026

This Montenegro vs Latvia prediction and match preview covers the UEFA Nations League fixture to be played on November 12, 2026 at 22:45 Turkey time. The gap between a host that has not lost in its last five matches and a visitor that has picked up a point only once in the same span makes this a compelling contest in terms of form momentum. Below we go through both teams' data and goal expectation step by step.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Date: November 12, 2026
Time (Turkey): 22:45
Home team: Montenegro
Away team: Latvia

If you would like to browse the rest of the week's games, you can use our fixtures page.

Recent Form

Montenegro have taken 3 wins and 2 draws from their last five matches, so they have left every game with at least a point and have not suffered a defeat. The form sequence reads D-W-W-W-D: three straight wins in the middle and a draw at each end. This picture shows a host that can both score and avoid losing.

The picture on the Latvia side is the opposite. There is no win in the last five matches; the record shows 1 draw and 4 defeats. The sequence reads L-L-D-L-L, and the only game in which the team collected a point ended in a draw. A side arriving with such a run may find it hard to rebuild its confidence, and form momentum clearly appears to favor the home side.

To compare the form and goal analyses of other matches, you can also check our match predictions page.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Montenegro score an average of 1.8 goals per match and concede 1.2. Combined, these figures lift the average total goals in Montenegro matches to 3.0. A both-teams-to-score rate of 80 percent supports the same story: in roughly four out of every five matches, both sides have found the net. The Over rate for the hosts is 80 percent, but at a higher goal line it falls to 40 percent. In other words, Montenegro matches often produce goals, but they have a limited tendency to turn into goal fests.

Latvia's profile is much lower in tempo. The visitors score just 0.4 goals per match, concede 1.4, and their average total goals per match stays at 1.8. Their both-teams-to-score rate is 40 percent and their Over rate is 40 percent; at a higher goal line the rate is 0 percent. At a lower line, 60 percent of Latvia matches have finished with goals. These figures show that Latvia matches are generally low-scoring and that the core issue is scoring output in attack.

Placing the two teams' data side by side reveals an interesting balance. Montenegro's 1.8 goals scored is above the 1.4 Latvia concede, so the paths to goal look open for the hosts. On the other hand, Latvia's 0.4 goals scored is well below the 1.2 Montenegro concede, so it is hard, statistically, for the visitors to contribute to the scoreline. A match profile sitting between Montenegro's total-goals average of 3.0 and Latvia's 1.8 stands out.

In iTahmin's data, the Over potential tag for this match is rated weak/risky, with a high risk level. The reason may be that the host's goal-friendly profile is offset by the visitor's serious problem in attacking output; the signals balance each other out.

iTahmin Verdict

Looking at the data, the advantage appears to lie with Montenegro. An unbeaten five-match run creates a clear form gap against Latvia's run shaped by four defeats. Latvia's attacking average of 0.4 goals per match also narrows the visitors' route to scoring.

In terms of goal expectation, the picture is mixed. The high percentages in Montenegro's both-teams-to-score and Over rates keep the chance of a goal-filled match alive, but Latvia's low scoring output limits that chance. It is therefore more balanced to read the goal expectation as moderate, with a high degree of uncertainty. To see the overall position in the competition, you can follow the standings page. Even so, football cannot be reduced to a single data set; single-match results remain open to surprises.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Montenegro vs Latvia, and what time does it kick off?

The match will be played on November 12, 2026 at 22:45 Turkey time.

Which league or tournament is Montenegro vs Latvia part of?

Montenegro vs Latvia is a UEFA Nations League fixture.

What is the form of Montenegro and Latvia?

Montenegro have taken 3 wins and 2 draws from their last five matches, with no defeats. Latvia have recorded 1 draw and 4 defeats over the same span.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.