Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Prediction | November 14, 2026

In this Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction and preview, we assess the UEFA Nations League fixture scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 22:45 Turkey time, using the data available. Both sides have struggled to produce goals recently, and their matches have generally been played at a low tempo. Northern Ireland, the home side, looks a step ahead on form, while Ukraine's attacking output is strikingly low. If you want to browse other match analyses too, our daily match predictions page is ready for you.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Date: November 14, 2026
Time (Turkey): 22:45
Fixture: Northern Ireland (home) vs Ukraine (away)

You can find the other matches on the schedule on our fixtures page.

Recent Form

Northern Ireland took 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last five matches (D-W-D-W-L), which works out to 8 points. Ukraine, over the same span, collected 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (L-L-D-W-D) for 5 points. A gap of 3 points may not look huge, but there is a clear form momentum in the home side's favour. Northern Ireland avoided defeat in four of their five matches, while Ukraine lost two and won only once.

Another notable detail is that both teams have recorded two draws each in their last five. That picture suggests a contest prone to narrow scorelines and cautious play.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Northern Ireland score 1.0 goals per match and concede 0.6, with an average of 1.6 total goals in their games. Ukraine score 0.4 and concede 1.0 per match, and their total goals average stays at 1.4. The midpoint of the two averages is around 1.5, which points to a controlled, low-tempo game rather than a goal-heavy flow.

The both-teams-to-score rate is 20% for each side, meaning both nets were breached in only one of every five matches. Ukraine's attacking average of 0.4 goals, set against Northern Ireland's defensive average of 0.6 conceded, makes it look hard for the visitors to find the net. On the other hand, Northern Ireland's output of 1.0 goals matches the 1.0 goals Ukraine concede per match. A goal for the home side is therefore the more plausible scenario.

Looking at the Over rates, Northern Ireland's three tiers step down from 40% to 40% to 20%. For Ukraine they read 40%, 40% and 0%. In other words, Ukraine's matches have almost never reached the high-scoring end, and even for Northern Ireland the highest tier was hit in only one of five matches. Our AI-supported tag marks "Over potential" for this match at a weak/risky level with a high risk rating, which is consistent with the story the numbers tell: the data gives little support for expecting a goal-fest.

iTahmin Verdict

Taken as a whole, the data leaves Northern Ireland with a slight edge. Form momentum (8 points against 5), a lower goals-conceded average (0.6 against 1.0) and higher goal production (1.0 against 0.4) are three separate indicators in the home side's favour. Even so, the advantage is not a large one. Both teams' runs full of draws keep a narrow win for either side, or a draw, firmly on the table.

On goal expectation, the picture is a low one. Total goal averages are 1.6 and 1.4, the both-teams-to-score rate is 20%, and Ukraine's rate at the top Over tier is zero. It is therefore no surprise that the "Over potential" tag comes out weak/risky. Checking the teams' positions and other results on the league standings page can help complete the context of this match. All of this is an assessment of likelihoods, and given the nature of football, surprises are always possible.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Northern Ireland vs Ukraine and what time does it kick off?

The match will be played on November 14, 2026 at 22:45 Turkey time.

Which league or competition is Northern Ireland vs Ukraine part of?

The fixture is part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the recent form of the two teams?

Northern Ireland took 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last five matches. Ukraine recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.