Norway vs Wales Prediction and Match Preview (November 14, 2026)

In this Norway vs Wales prediction, we preview the UEFA Nations League match to be played on November 14, 2026 at 20:00 Turkey time. Both teams have managed only one win in their last five matches. That makes the game important for morale and for turning their recent runs around. The data suggests Norway's games tend to be more open and high-scoring, while Wales struggle to create goals.
If you want to see other upcoming games before diving into the details, you can check our fixtures page.
Match Information
- Match: Norway vs Wales
- League: UEFA Nations League
- Date: November 14, 2026
- Time (Turkey): 20:00
Recent Form
Norway have taken 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last five matches. The sequence reads L-L-L-W-L. With four defeats and just one win, the home side have lacked consistency.
Wales show a surprisingly identical record: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, in the sequence L-W-L-L-L. Neither team is in good form, and both will arrive looking for a lift. There is no clear form advantage separating the two sides, so the difference is more likely to come from their scoring and conceding tendencies.
Neither side has a drawn match among their last five. Every result went clearly one way. That suggests this game may be closer to a scenario where one team scores and takes control than to a balanced stalemate.
Goal Expectation and Key Stats
The most striking part of this match is Norway's numbers. The home side score 1.4 goals per match but concede 2.0. Combined, Norway games average 3.4 goals. Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches, and the Over rate is also 100%. In other words, in all of their last five games both sides found the net and the Over outcome landed. At a much higher goal line, that rate drops to 20%. So Norway's games are goal-heavy, but they do not always turn into extreme high-scoring affairs.
Wales paint a calmer picture. The away side score only 0.6 goals per match and concede 1.4. Their matches average 2.0 total goals. Both teams scored in 40% of their games and the Over rate is 40%. At a much higher goal line the rate is 0%. Wales are not very productive going forward, and their matches usually finish with more restrained scorelines.
Placing the two profiles side by side reveals an interesting balance. Norway concede 2.0 goals per game, sharply contrasting with the 0.6 Wales score. Meanwhile, the 1.4 goals Wales concede exactly matches the 1.4 Norway score. This matchup keeps Norway's chances of scoring alive, while suggesting Wales may find it hard to get on the scoresheet despite any defensive gaps.
It is worth remembering that the sample is limited to five matches. Even so, figures this extreme point towards a Norway-led goal scenario. In iTahmin's data, Over potential for this match is flagged as medium with a medium risk level. The main reason behind the label is the high Over rate. You can find similar match analyses on our predictions page.
iTahmin Verdict
Based on the data, there is no clear form edge in this match, as both teams suffered four defeats in their last five. However, the goal statistics lean towards Norway. The hosts score more and their games produce far more goals, while Wales remain limited going forward. In terms of scoring output, Norway look to have the advantage.
Goal expectation splits into two views. Norway's average of 3.4 goals per match and 100% Over rate show an open game is possible. Wales' average of 2.0 and 40% Over rate point to a more measured game. Between the two profiles, a moderate goal expectation seems reasonable. That is why the Over potential is considered medium rather than strong.
In short, Norway's scoring edge and Wales' limited attacking output stand out. Still, many factors decide a single football match, and no analysis can state the outcome in advance. This preview only summarizes the trend the available numbers point to. To follow the table, you can visit our standings page.
Frequently Asked Questions
When and at what time is Norway vs Wales being played?
The match will be played on November 14, 2026 at 20:00 Turkey time.
Which league or competition is Norway vs Wales part of?
The match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
What is the form of Norway and Wales?
Both teams have taken 1 win and 4 losses in their last five matches. Norway's sequence is L-L-L-W-L, while Wales' is L-W-L-L-L.
This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.