Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al-Nassr Riyadh Prediction

In this Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al-Nassr Riyadh prediction, we review the UEFA Champions League fixture using the data available. The match will be played on November 2, 2026, at 16:45 Turkey time. A home side that has managed only one win in its last five games faces a visitor that has won all five in the same stretch, which makes for a sharp contrast in form and goal profile. You can also browse our other match predictions for more previews.

Match Information

League: UEFA Champions League
Home team: Pakhtakor Tashkent
Away team: Al-Nassr Riyadh
Date: November 2, 2026
Time (TR): 16:45

You can follow the rest of the schedule and kick-off times on the fixtures page.

Recent Form

Pakhtakor Tashkent recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five matches. The picture is one of a side still searching for consistency: they collected points in only three of five games and turned just one of them into a full three points. The two draws are a small sign of resilience, suggesting the team does not give way easily.

Al-Nassr Riyadh present a far brighter picture. The visitors won each of their last five matches, and the run is backed by averages of 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. So the streak is not just about results; it is supported by goal production and shows real form momentum. The form gap is the most visible storyline here: one side has been dropping points, while the other has dropped none.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Pakhtakor Tashkent score 1.2 goals per match and concede 1.4, with an average of 2.6 total goals in their games. Al-Nassr Riyadh score 3.0 and concede 1.0, with matches averaging 4.0 goals. The midpoint of those two totals is roughly 3.3 goals, which suggests a tempo in the medium-to-high range.

The most telling matchup is Al-Nassr's attack against Pakhtakor's defence. The visitors' 3.0 goals per game is well above the 1.4 the hosts concede. By contrast, Pakhtakor's attacking average of 1.2 is almost level with the 1.0 Al-Nassr concede, so the hosts can find the net, but turning that into sustained pressure looks difficult.

On both teams scoring, 80% of Pakhtakor's matches have seen goals at both ends, against 60% for Al-Nassr. On the lowest goal line, the Over rate is 80% for both sides. The gap opens up as the line rises: at the middle line Pakhtakor sit at 40% and Al-Nassr at 80%, while at the highest line it is 40% against 60%. This pattern shows that the goal expectation rests largely on the visitors' attacking strength.

The iTahmin AI tag points to "Over potential" for this match, but the level is weak/risky and the risk rating is high. The reason is the inconsistency in the data: Al-Nassr's numbers point to plenty of goals, while Pakhtakor's Over rate stays at 40% on the higher lines. In other words, both a high-scoring game and a low-scoring one are consistent with the numbers.

iTahmin Verdict

The data points to an edge for Al-Nassr Riyadh: a perfect five-from-five run, 3 goals scored per game and only 1 conceded are three concrete factors that favour the visitors. Pakhtakor Tashkent conceding 1.4 goals per match is a risk against that attacking output. The one point in the hosts' favour is the 80% both-teams-to-score figure, so Pakhtakor finding the net cannot be ruled out.

The goal expectation reads as medium-to-high, but because the Over potential is flagged as risky, this should be treated with caution. Form streaks do not always continue, and single matches can deviate from the numbers. If you want the wider table context, you can check the latest standings page.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al-Nassr Riyadh and what time does it kick off?

The match will be played on November 2, 2026, at 16:45 Turkey time.

Which league or competition is the match part of?

The fixture is part of the UEFA Champions League.

What is the form of the two teams?

Pakhtakor Tashkent have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five matches, while Al-Nassr Riyadh have won all five.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.