Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction | October 22, 2026

In this Palmeiras vs Fluminense prediction and match preview, we look at the Copa Libertadores fixture on October 22, 2026, kicking off at 03:30 Turkish time, through recent form, goal averages and Over tendencies. The statistical profiles of the two sides differ clearly in this continental tournament match: on one side is a home team with a very solid defence, on the other an away side that is more open to scoring and conceding.

Match Information

League: Copa Libertadores
Home team: Palmeiras
Away team: Fluminense
Date: October 22, 2026
Time (TR): 03:30

If you plan to follow this late-night match, you can find the rest of the day's games on our fixtures page.

Recent Form

Palmeiras took 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches and have not lost. This run suggests the home side has found real consistency in avoiding dropped points. Notably, the results have come through a controlled approach rather than a high-tempo attack: averaging 1.8 goals scored while conceding only 0.4 per game shows that defensive discipline is the main driver of the form.

The picture is more uneven on the Fluminense side. They have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five matches, so the away team has recently met more defeats than victories. Even so, scoring 1.8 goals per game shows the attack is working, while conceding 1.2 points to some fragility at the back. The issue is less about creating goals and more about the chances given away.

On paper, the form gap favours Palmeiras. However, the identical 1.8 goals-per-game average is a reminder that Fluminense's attacking output is not behind that of their opponent.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

The most interesting aspect of this match is the contrast in the two goal profiles. Palmeiras matches average 2.2 total goals, while Fluminense matches average 3.0. That 0.8-goal gap shows the away team's games are noticeably more open.

On both teams to score, 40% of Palmeiras matches see both sides find the net. For Fluminense this figure is 60%. Given Palmeiras concede just 0.4 per game, the home side's tendency to shut down its own goal appears to be the main reason for this gap.

The Over trend shows a similar split. Fluminense matches end Over in 80% of cases, while Palmeiras matches sit at 40%. In high-scoring games, Palmeiras' 20% is half of Fluminense's 40%, meaning goal-heavy matches appear twice as often in the away side's record.

In iTahmin data, the Over potential for this match is labelled weak/risky. The reason is straightforward: the two teams' numbers do not point in the same direction. Fluminense's tendency towards high-scoring games is strong, but Palmeiras' defensive solidity may offset it. You can also browse our predictions page for more match previews.

iTahmin Verdict

According to the data, Palmeiras look to hold the advantage in form and defensive stability. Four wins, one draw and a 0.4 goals-conceded average are strong signs that the home side can keep control. Fluminense, although just as productive in attack, may struggle away from home given three defeats in their last five and a 1.2 goals-conceded average.

The goal expectation is mixed. Averaging the two teams' goals-per-match figures points to a moderate tempo, yet Fluminense's high Over rate means the possibility of a goal count above expectation cannot be ruled out. The Over outlook should therefore be read with caution. In cup matches a single moment can change the outcome; this assessment is a reading of past data and does not guarantee any result.

Those who want to compare tournament and league tables can visit the standings page.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

The match will be played on October 22, 2026 at 03:30 Turkish time.

Which league or tournament is Palmeiras vs Fluminense part of?

The match is part of the Copa Libertadores.

What is the form of Palmeiras and Fluminense?

Palmeiras have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches, an unbeaten run. Fluminense have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.