Portugal vs Denmark Prediction | November 14, 2026

This Portugal vs Denmark prediction and preview covers the UEFA Nations League fixture on November 14, 2026, which kicks off at 22:45 Turkey time. Hosts Portugal arrive with four wins in their last five matches, while Denmark's recent results have been far more uneven. That contrast makes the match interesting in terms of both form momentum and goal expectation. For more analyses of other fixtures, visit our predictions page.

Match Information

League: UEFA Nations League
Fixture: Portugal vs Denmark
Date: November 14, 2026
Time (Turkey): 22:45

To see the rest of the schedule, you can use our fixtures page.

Recent Form

Portugal have won four and lost one of their last five matches (W-W-W-W-L). That equals 12 points from five games and an 80% win share. With no draws in the list, Portugal's matches have mostly ended in favor of one side, and apart from the single defeat the team's ability to produce results looks very consistent.

Denmark's last five read W-L-W-L-D: two wins, one draw and two defeats, for 7 points. Wins and losses arriving almost in alternation suggests a team that is struggling to build stability. The 5-point gap across the two sides gives Portugal the edge in form momentum.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Portugal score 1.8 goals and concede 1.0 per match, with a total goal average of 2.8 in their games. A goal difference of +0.8 per match points to a side that is productive going forward and balanced at the back. Denmark score 1.4 and concede 1.4 per match; their total goal average is also 2.8, but their goal difference is zero. In other words, both teams' matches see goals at a similar tempo, yet Portugal have been more effective at turning those goals in their own favor.

On Both Teams to Score, Portugal stand at 60% and Denmark at 40%. In more than half of Portugal's matches both sides found the net, while Denmark's games more often feature at least one side failing to score.

Looking at the Over rates, Portugal show 60% for the low threshold, 60% for the middle threshold and 20% for the high threshold. This distribution suggests Portugal's matches mostly stay at a moderate number of goals, with high-scoring scenarios being rare. Denmark's figures for the same three thresholds are 60%, 40% and 40%. Every Denmark match that cleared the middle threshold also cleared the high one, so their games tend either to stay low-scoring or to open up suddenly.

A simple averages-based reading is possible too: combining Portugal's attack (1.8) with Denmark's goals conceded (1.4) gives roughly 1.6 goals for Portugal, and combining Denmark's attack (1.4) with Portugal's defensive average (1.0) gives roughly 1.2 for Denmark. The 2.8 total is consistent with both teams' individual match averages. This is only a rough inference from averages, not a score forecast.

iTahmin's AI-supported tag rates the Over potential for this match as weak/risky, with a high risk level. That reading makes sense: even though the averages sit at 2.8, Portugal's high-scoring rate of only 20% and Denmark's 40% Both Teams to Score rate show that a goal-heavy scenario does not follow a clear pattern.

iTahmin Verdict

The data points to Portugal as slightly ahead: four wins in the last five, a +0.8 goal difference per match and a 60% Both Teams to Score rate all support that picture. Denmark bring a 0.0 goal difference and a form line full of ups and downs. Goal expectation is moderate, and the Over potential stays in the risky category.

The match could well follow a pattern in which Portugal set a more controlled rhythm. On the other hand, Denmark's tendency to swing matches toward extremes keeps the chance of a surprise alive. To follow the wider competition picture, check our standings page.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Portugal vs Denmark and what time does it start?

The match is on November 14, 2026, at 22:45 Turkey time.

Which league or tournament is Portugal vs Denmark part of?

The fixture is played as part of the UEFA Nations League.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Portugal have 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches, while Denmark have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.