Roma vs Cagliari Prediction | October 27, 2026

This Roma vs Cagliari prediction and preview covers the Italy Serie A match on October 27, 2026, kicking off at 22:45 Turkish time. Third-placed Roma host seventh-placed Cagliari. The home side stands out in both the table and the goal statistics, but Cagliari's recent form balances the picture. You can find more of our previews on our predictions page.

Match Information

League: Italy Serie A
Match: Roma vs Cagliari
Date: October 27, 2026
Time (TR): 22:45

To see the rest of the round, take a look at the fixtures page.

Recent Form

Roma have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last five matches. Avoiding defeat in four of five is a steady record, yet only two wins suggest the home side has not been turning recent results into maximum points. The weight of the draws indicates Roma have not always been able to convert their superiority into the scoreline.

Cagliari arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last five. In terms of victories, the visitors are one step ahead of Roma. With a draw alongside those three wins, Cagliari have collected points in four of their last five matches, which points to a side playing with confidence. Still, form alone is not enough; the last five results should be read together with the quality of opposition, and the data we have does not include that detail.

League Standings

In the 20-team Serie A, Roma sit third with 17 points from 7 matches. With a goal difference of +13, the home side averages roughly 2.4 points per match and holds its place near the top firmly. Cagliari have 13 points from the same number of matches (7) and sit seventh, with a goal difference of -1. The visitors are not far from the top of the table, with just 4 points separating them from Roma.

The most striking gap is in goal difference: there are 14 goals separating the two sides. This suggests Roma can win matches by comfortable margins, while Cagliari collect their points through narrower scorelines. For the full current table, see our standings page.

Goal Expectation and Key Stats

Roma score an average of 2.2 goals per match and concede 1.2. The average total goals in Roma matches is 3.4, showing that the home side's games tend to be lively. Cagliari score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per match, with an average of 2.2 total goals in their games. The gap between the two sides' total goal averages is a clear 1.2 goals.

Reading the numbers against each other: Roma's scoring output (2.2) is one goal above what Cagliari concede per match (1.2). Cagliari's output (1.0), on the other hand, is slightly below Roma's goals-conceded average (1.2). In attacking terms, the advantage clearly appears to lie with the hosts.

The Over percentages tell the same story. In Roma matches, the Over rate is 80% on the lowest goal line and 60% on both the middle and higher lines. For Cagliari, the same rates are 60%, 40% and 20%. The gap between Roma's 60% and Cagliari's 20% on the highest line shows how different the two teams' tempos are. Both teams also have a both-teams-to-score rate of 40%, which means that in most of their matches at least one side either fails to score or keeps a clean sheet.

The iTahmin Over potential tag for this match is at a weak/risky level. The reason is that the data does not point in a single direction: Roma's tendency toward high-scoring games is strong, but Cagliari's slower-paced profile and the low both-teams-to-score rate for each side act as balancing factors.

iTahmin Verdict

The data suggests Roma hold the advantage: they are third, have a +13 goal difference, average 2.2 goals per match and have an attack that outstrips Cagliari's goals-conceded average. Cagliari, however, are an opponent not to be underestimated on form; with 3 wins in their last five, the visitors can put up a resilient display against Roma.

Goal expectation is moderate. Roma's high Over rates support a match with goals, but Cagliari's low scoring output (1.0) and the 40% both-teams-to-score rate on each side suggest the match may be shaped by goals from one team only. A game in which the home side looks ahead, but the outcome remains open and the Over potential stays risky, is therefore expected.

Frequently Asked Questions

When and at what time is Roma vs Cagliari?

The match will be played on October 27, 2026 at 22:45 Turkish time.

Which league or tournament is Roma vs Cagliari part of?

The match is part of Italy Serie A.

What is the current form of Roma and Cagliari?

Roma have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last five matches, while Cagliari have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.

This content is for informational purposes only. It is not advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.